In 2004, juvenile arrest rates for murder, forcible rape, and robbery were at or near their lowest levels since at least 1980; the same was not true for the juvenile arrest rate for aggravated assault
Murder
Between 1980 and 2004, the juvenile arrest rate for murder
peaked in 1993. In that year, there were an estimated 3,790
arrests of juveniles for murder.
From the mid-1980s to the peak in 1993, the juvenile arrest
rate for murder more than doubled.
With one minor exception, the juvenile arrest rate for murder
fell each year after 1993, so that by 2004 it was 77% below the
peak 1993 rate. In 2004, there were an estimated 1,110 arrests
of juveniles for murder.
Forcible Rape
Following the general pattern of other assaultive offenses, the
juvenile arrest rate for forcible rape increased from the early
1980s through the early 1990s and then fell substantially.
Over the 19802004 period, the juvenile arrest rate for forcible
rape peaked in 1991, 44% above its 1980 level.
After 1991, with minor exceptions, the juvenile arrest rate
dropped annually through 2004. By 1999, it had returned to its
1980 level. By 2004, the juvenile arrest rate for forcible rape
had fallen to a point 22% below the 1980 level, and to its lowest
level in more than a generation.
Robbery
Unlike the juvenile arrest rates for other violent crimes, the rate
for robbery declined through much of the 1980s, reaching a low
point in 1988, 30% below its 1980 level.
The growth in the juvenile arrest rate for robbery between 1988
and 199495 moved the rate above the 1980 level, a pattern
found in each of the other Violent Crime Index offenses.
Like the other Violent Crime Index offenses, the juvenile arrest
rate for robbery declined substantially after its mid-1990s peak,
falling 62% from 1995 through 2004to a point 55% below its
1980 level and 35% below its previous low point in 1988.
Aggravated Assault
The juvenile arrest rate for aggravated assault doubled between
1980 and 1994. As with the other crimes in the Violent
Crime Index, the juvenile arrest rate for aggravated assault fell
from the mid-1990s to 2004; for aggravated assault, the decline
from 1994 through 2004 was 39%.
Unlike the juvenile arrest rates for other crimes in the Violent
Crime Index, the rate for aggravated assault in 2004 was not
at its lowest level in the 19802004 period. The juvenile arrest
rate for aggravated assault in 2004 was, in fact, 23% above its
1980 level.
Data source: Analysis of arrest data from the FBI and population data from the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the National Center for Health Statistics. [See data source note for detail.]