Bullet Juveniles are at the highest risk of being victims of violence at the end of the school day
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Victim reports and police incident data both show daytime juvenile victimization peaks

In recent years, analyses of the FBI National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) data have highlighted the fact that juveniles are at highest risk of being the victim of a violent crime in the 4 hours following the end of the school day (roughly 2 p.m. to 6 p.m.). This pattern is based on reports of crimes to law enforcement. It is possible that the actual pattern of crime against juveniles differs from the police data, because much of juvenile crime is never reported to law enforcement.

The violent victimization of juveniles is greatest between 3 p.m. and 9 p.m., while adult victimizations are most common between 9 p.m. and midnight
 
Violent Crime

Robbery

Aggravated Assault

Note: Violent victimizations include the crimes of murder, violent sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault, and simple assault. Data are from 12 States (Alabama, Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, Michigan, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia).

Source: Authors' analyses of the FBI's National Incident-Based Reporting System master files for the years 1991-1996 [machine-readable data files].

To investigate this possibility, data from the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) were analyzed to determine the time periods in which a nationally representative sample of youth ages 12-17 said they had been victimized in 1996, regardless of whether the crime had been reported to law enforcement. NCVS asks the victims to indicate in which of a day's four 6-hour blocks their victimization occurred. For comparison, NIBRS data were then analyzed for victims of the same ages.

1 in 5 of all violent crimes with juvenile victims occurs between 3 p.m. and 7 p.m. on school days
 
Violent Crime

Robbery

Aggravated Assault

Note: Violent victimizations include the crimes of murder, violent sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault, and simple assault. Data are from 12 States (Alabama, Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, Michigan, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia).

Source: Authors' analyses of the FBI's National Incident-Based Reporting System master files for the years 1991-1996 [machine-readable data files].

The results show that juvenile victims report even more crime occurring between noon and 6 p.m. (which includes the afterschool period) than indicated by NIBRS data. For example, NCVS victims indicate that half (51%) of all robberies occur between noon and 6 p.m., while the police data show that only 32% of juvenile robberies reported to them occurred during this period. Similarly, NCVS data show a greater proportion of aggravated assaults (49% vs. 34%) and simple assaults (59% vs. 38%) occurring between noon and 6 p.m.

Offense Percent of all crimes against juveniles
Victim records Police records
Robbery
6 a.m.-noon 14% 7%
Noon-6 p.m. 51% 32%
6 p.m.-midnight 32% 49%
Midnight-6 a.m. 4% 13%
Aggravated assault
6 a.m.-noon 7% 11%
Noon-6 p.m. 49% 34%
6 p.m.-midnight 37% 42%
Midnight-6 a.m. 6% 13%
Simple assault
6 a.m.-noon 21% 14%
Noon-6 p.m. 59% 38%
6 p.m.-midnight 18% 39%
Midnight-6 a.m. 2% 9%

It is reasonable that victim reports indicate greater proportions of victimization occurring during hours that include the afterschool period than do the law enforcement data. As NCVS data indicate, juveniles did not tell adults about a substantial portion of their victimizations, and when they did tell an adult, they often reported to authorities other than law enforcement (e.g., school officials). These authorities may handle the matter themselves or refer the matter to law enforcement.

In 1996, about half (48% of serious violent juvenile victimizations occurred between noon and 6 p.m.

  • More than one-third (38%) of rapes occurred between midnight and 6 a.m., a proportion higher than any other violent crime for that time period. As a result, the time patterns for serious violent victimizations overall differed slightly for males and females.

  • Time patterns for serious violent victimizations were similar for white juveniles and black juveniles, with half of all these victimizations occurring between noon and 6 p.m. In contrast, a greater proportion of simple assaults of black juveniles occurred during the evening hours.

  • Compared with cities and rural areas, suburban areas had the greatest proportion of violent juvenile victimizations occurring in the hours between noon and 6 p.m.

Not Detail may not total 100% because of rounding.

Source: Authors' analysis of data for 1996 from the bureau of Justice Statistics' National Crime Victimization Survey [machine readable data file].

Because crimes in and around school are likely to be reported initially to school officials who may not report them to police, such crimes may be less likely to be reported to law enforcement than crimes occurring at other times of the day. Consequently, law enforcement data may actually underestimate the proportion of crime that occurs in the afterschool hours.



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1999 National Report Series, Juvenile Justice Bulletin: Violence After School November 1999