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NCJ Number: NCJ 160092     Find in a Library
Title: Lifetime Likelihood of Going to State or Federal Prison
  Document URL: Text PDF 
  Agency Summary: Agency Summary 
Author(s): T P Bonczar ; A J Beck
Corporate Author: Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS)
US Dept of Justice
Office of Justice Programs
United States of America
Date Published: 1997
Page Count: 16
  Series: BJS Special Reports
  Annotation: This report presents data and information on the chances of going to State or Federal prison at some time during the rest of life by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin.
Abstract: Life table techniques were used to incorporate the effects of mortality and incarceration into a single statistical model. In generating estimates of the lifetime chances of going to prison, the model assumes a constant set of age-specific mortality and incarceration rates. Since the computations involve two forms of exit from an initial cohort, they represent an application of what is known to demographers as double-decrement life table techniques. If recent incarceration rates remain unchanged, an estimated 1 of every 20 persons (5.1 percent) will serve time in a prison during their lifetime. Men are over eight times more likely than women to be incarcerated in prison at least once during their life. Among men, blacks (28.5 percent) are about twice as likely as Hispanics (16 percent) and six times more likely than whites (4.4 percent) to be admitted to prison during their life. Among women, 3.6 percent of blacks, 1.5 percent of Hispanics, and 0.5 percent of whites will enter prison at least once. The chance of going to prison for the first time declines with age. Nearly two-thirds of those admitted to prison for the first time will have been on probation, and one-third will have served a sentence to a local jail or juvenile facility. 11 tables and 2 figures
Main Term(s): Inmate statistics
Index Term(s): Incarceration and Imprisonment ; Inmate characteristics
Sale Source: National Institute of Justice/NCJRS
Box 6000
Rockville, MD 20849
United States of America

NCJRS Photocopy Services
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United States of America
Type: Statistics
Country: United States of America
Language: English
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