U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government, Department of Justice.

NCJRS Virtual Library

The Virtual Library houses over 235,000 criminal justice resources, including all known OJP works.
Click here to search the NCJRS Virtual Library

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome: Current and Future Trends (From AIDS and IV Drug Abusers: Current Perspectives, P 267-283, 1988, Robert P Galea, et al, eds. -- See NCJ-112198)

NCJ Number
112221
Author(s)
W M Morgan; J W Curran
Date Published
1988
Length
17 pages
Annotation
This article provides a detailed description of the demographic projections that serve as the basis for the 'Public Health Service Plan for the Prevention and Control of AIDS and the AIDS Virus.'
Abstract
Trends in the numbers of AIDS cases in the United States meeting the surveillance definition and reported to the Centers for Disease Control were analyzed for the period beginning June 1981 through May 1986. Physicians and health departments reported 20,766 cases of AIDS in this period. Of these, 98.6 percent were adults and 1.4 percent were children. It is projected that 15,800 new AIDS cases will be diagnosed in 1986, increasing to 74,000 cases in 1991. Ninety-four percent of the total reported adult cases can be placed in groups that suggest possible means of disease acquisition: heterosexual IV drug abusers (17 percent); homosexual/bisexual men with history of IV drug use (8 percent); homosexual/bisexual men not known to use IV drugs (65 percent); hemophiliacs (1 percent); heterosexual sex partners of persons with AIDS, HIV infection, or increased risk of AIDS (1 percent); and recipients of transfused blood or blood components (2 percent). A significant change among the patient groups is a decline in the proportion of AIDS patients born outside the United States, in Haiti, or central African countries. The proportion of cases in the heterosexual contact risk group has increased from 1983 to 1986. The geographic distribution of diagnosed adult AIDS cases has changed markedly from 1983 to 1986, with an increasing proportion of cases among homosexual men from areas other than New York City. There has been a marginally significant increase in the proportion of women with AIDS, although 93 percent of reported cases are men. The mean age among patients diagnosed before 1984 is 36.3 years compared with 37.8 years for those after 1984. Sixty percent are white, 25 percent black, and 14 percent Hispanic. Fifty-four percent of 159 pediatric cases have been in children born to a parent with a history of IV drug abuse, an additional 10 percent are among children of parents with AIDS or are at other risk for AIDS, and 13 percent are in children born to Haitian parents. 5 tables, 1 exhibit, and 11 references.

Downloads

No download available

Availability