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Forecasting Florida's Prison Population

NCJ Number
173446
Author(s)
B Bales; J Harrington
Date Published
1997
Length
59 pages
Annotation
This report presents the methods and results of multiple forecasts of Florida's prison population from 1995 through 2002.
Abstract
The Winters method was used to predict new admissions, including control release with new sentences, new commitments, parole violators with new sentences, provisional release violators with new sentences, and supervised conditional release violators with new sentences. A separate and individual forecast was conducted for the remainder of incoming and outgoing cases, including control release violators, returns from courts, conditional release violators, other admissions, outgoing to courts, and other releases. The research also covered on estimates of the outgoing population stream, time-served distributions, and simulation models. Figures, tables, and background information