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Novus Ordo Saeclorum? A Commentary on Downes, and on Beckett and Western

NCJ Number
187218
Journal
Punishment & Society Volume: 3 Issue: 1 Dated: January 2001 Pages: 81-93
Author(s)
David F. Greenberg
Editor(s)
David Garland
Date Published
January 2001
Length
13 pages
Annotation
This article discusses methodological and interpretive issues raised by Beckett and Western's statistical analysis of U.S. imprisonment rates, considers the argument of Downes that market economies generate high crime rates and high levels of punitiveness, and questions whether Europe's penal history will follow that of the United States.
Abstract
The sociological study of state punishment policies and practices, long a minor criminological specialty, is currently undergoing change. Stimulated at least in part by the historically unprecedented growth in the U.S. prison population over the past 30 years, the study of prison populations and the reasons they change has attracted new researchers and has stimulated new theories. Punishment is no longer being considered in isolation from other social institutions. The relationships Beckett and Western find between penal and welfare policies and between imprisonment rates and race have now been found in several studies of U.S. imprisonment rates. Their analysis suggests prison populations can be predicted but their model is not nearly as successful in explaining changes in prison populations. Further, their analysis indicates the relationship between imprisonment and welfare policy has become stronger over time such that penal and welfare policies have increasingly clustered into coherent policy regimes. Downes discusses prison policies in the context of welfare, social control, economic influences, and globalization, and he contends the trend toward harsh penal policies in both the United States and Europe may be out of control. 65 references and 7 notes