U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government, Department of Justice.

NCJRS Virtual Library

The Virtual Library houses over 235,000 criminal justice resources, including all known OJP works.
Click here to search the NCJRS Virtual Library

Model Misspecification: Why Aggregation of Offenses in Federal Sentencing Equations is Problematic

NCJ Number
204768
Journal
Criminology Volume: 41 Issue: 4 Dated: November 2003 Pages: 1449-1455
Author(s)
Celesta A. Albonetti
Editor(s)
Robert J. Bursik Jr.
Date Published
November 2003
Length
7 pages
Annotation
This comment paper addresses the concern for model specification of Federal sentencing and the concern for correcting researchers Steffensmeier and Demuth’s misinterpretation of the author’s 1997 study of Federal sentencing for drug offenders sentenced in 1991-1992.
Abstract
This comment paper addresses two concerns from an analysis conducted in 2001 by researchers Steffensmeier and Demuth on a 1997 study of Federal sentencing and drug offenders. The first concern was their misrepresentation of the author’s 1997 analysis on sentence severity and drug offenders. The second concern was the errors in their interpretation of the author’s findings of the effect of the guidelines of offense severity on length of imprisonment. Steffensmeier and Demuth’s mistaken criticism, revealing a failure to understand the offense-specific and relevant conduct structure of the Federal Sentencing Guidelines is important for future research. As such, model misspecification becomes problematic with their failure to understand and appreciate the importance of disaggregating guideline offense categories in equations of Federal sentencing outcomes. In addition, they offer an incorrect “correction” for interpreting the effects of final offense level and criminal history points on sentence outcomes under the Federal Sentencing Guidelines. In summation, Steffensmeier and Demuth fail to understand the importance of controlling for the guideline offense that drives the sentencing decision. References