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Fiscal Year 2008 Adult Inmate Prison Population Projections

NCJ Number
222260
Author(s)
Kunlun Chang; Fengfang Lu; Helen Pedigo
Date Published
August 2007
Length
52 pages
Annotation
This report presents an overview of the adult inmate prison population projection for fiscal year 2008 for the State of Kansas.
Abstract
The fiscal year (FY) 2008 projections indicate that overall, the Kansas prison population will increase by 397 inmates or 4.5 percent in FY 2017 from the current prison population of 8,854. The total prison population is expected to reach 9,015 inmates by the end of FY 2008 and 9,251 by the end of FY 2017. Off grid nondrug severity levels I, II, and III will account for 44.1 percent of the projected prison population in FY 2017, compared to 34.1 percent presently. Nondrug severity levels IV, V, and VI will comprise 15.4 percent compared to 16.5 percent presently. Offenders sentenced to prison for nonviolent felonies will constitute 13.1 percent of the projected prison population in FY 2017, compared to 14.6 percent currently. The projected drug inmate prison population will represent 18.4 percent, compared to 21.3 percent currently. Parole/postrelease supervision condition violators will consist of 8.9 percent of the forecasted prison population in FY 2017, compared to 8.4 percent currently. The Kansas FY 2008 prison population projection model utilized in this report contains a combination of intended and unintended impacts of various sentencing policies enacted by the legislature during the past several years. On the whole, prison admissions decreased, releases stabilized, and the number of condition violators revoked to prison decreased. Key findings of the FY 2007 data are also presented. Attachments A-E