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Economic Analysis of Drug Transaction 'Cycles' Described by Incarcerated UK Drug Dealers

NCJ Number
227261
Journal
Global Crime Volume: 10 Issue: 1-2 Dated: February-May 2009 Pages: 94-112
Author(s)
Jonathan P. Caulkins; Benjamin Gurga; Christopher Little
Date Published
February 2009
Length
19 pages
Annotation
This study examined the economic cycles of purchase and resale of drugs by incarcerated dealers in the United Kingdom.
Abstract
The analysis generated a range of specific findings and confirmed some prior expectations based on research in other countries, including the facts that drug dealing cycles are short (often a week or less) and that price as a function of transaction size is well described by a power function. The findings document empirical regularities that call for theoretical analysis and explanation, such as the apparent stability in price markup coefficients over drugs and time. Also generated were new insights such as evidence that the United Kingdom importers might be vertically integrated into high-level domestic distribution. Much of their net revenues is derived from the domestic distribution, not solely from importation, and can be attributed to compensation for enforcement risk. Revenue does behave as risks and prices theory would predict, with bigger risk compensation increments for heroin and cocaine, than for cannabis. Data were collected from 222 incarcerated drug dealers in 22 cooperating prisons. Tables and figures

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