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Population Estimates: Methods for Small Area Analysis

NCJ Number
234131
Editor(s)
Everett S. Lee, Harold F. Goldsmith
Date Published
1982
Length
248 pages
Annotation
This book examines how to make better estimates of small area population characteristics.
Abstract
This book provides significant insights into the current state of the art methods for conducting small area population estimates and focuses on five innovative methods of establishing the population characteristics of small areas. These estimation procedures include administrative records, synthetic surveys, simulation, and area cohorts. The final chapter concludes with an essay on the future of small area population estimation. Changes in communities can be slow, but recent history has seen huge growth in some areas while others show signs of severe depopulation. As a result, estimating populations has developed under the constant pressure from legislators and administrators who need valid information about the regions under their jurisdiction. The contributors to this volume provide ideas that have been tested in practice, which have anticipated the things that could potentially go wrong, and which are suitable for a wide variety of purposes. This book should be of interest to demographers and research scientists concerned with developing usable procedures for making small area population estimates, government administrators and business executives who have to make decisions as to the feasibility of making small area estimates as well as those concerned with keeping track of social changes, such as demographers, sociologists, and economists. Appendixes