Preceding the correctional population projections, data are reported on the Texas crime rate and juvenile arrests and arrest rate. The Texas adult incarceration population is projected to increase by 6,598 offenders from the beginning of fiscal year 2007 until the end of fiscal year 2009 (from 152,894 to 159,492). By fiscal year 2012, the incarcerated population is projected to increase to 168,166 under current sentencing practices and statutes. The adult parole supervision population is projected to increase by 357 offenders from the beginning of fiscal year 2007 through fiscal year 2009 (from 76,791 to 77,148 fiscal year 2009 average). Adult correctional populations are also projected for adult felony community supervision and misdemeanor community supervision. The felony community supervision population is projected to increase by 893 offenders from the beginning of fiscal year 2007 through fiscal year 2009, from 159,785 to 160,678. The average number of yearly adult misdemeanor community supervision placements is projected to increase by 4,011 from fiscal year 2006 through fiscal year 2009 (121,152 to 125,163). The juvenile residential corrections population is expected to increase moderately through 2012. It is projected to increase by 262 offenders from the beginning of fiscal year 2007 until the end of fiscal year 2009, from 4,800 to 5,062. By fiscal year 2012, the juvenile residential population is projected to increase to 5,223. The juvenile probation supervision population is projected to increase by approximately 2.9 percent each year through fiscal year 2012. 10 tables, 8 figures, and appended methodology and assumptions as well as qualitative review findings