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POPULATION FORECASTING MODEL

NCJ Number
36242
Journal
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF CORRECTION Volume: 38 Issue: 4 Dated: (JULY-AUGUST 1976) Pages: 19 AND 42
Author(s)
S S MITTRA
Date Published
1976
Length
2 pages
Annotation
THIS PRISON POPULATION FORECASTING MODEL MAKES USE OF A FIVE-MONTH MOVING POPULATION AVERAGE AND IS SENSITIVE TO ECONOMIC AND EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS - IT WAS FOUND THAT A PARABOLIC TREND EXISTED OVER A TWENTY-MONTH CYCLE.
Abstract
THE MODEL (WHICH IS NOT COMPLETELY DESCRIBED) WAS USED TO PREDICT POPULATIONS UP THROUGH JUNE 1976 AND WAS QUITE ACCURATE IN PREDICTING FOR PENNSYLVANIA STATE CORRECTIONAL INSTITUTIONS.

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