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EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS AS A BASIS FOR LOCAL CRIMINAL JUSTICE PLANNING (FROM CRIMINAL JUSTICE STATISTICS ASSOCIATION, INC.- PROCEEDINGS..., 1978 - SEE NCJ-63086)

NCJ Number
63100
Author(s)
L A MOORE
Date Published
1978
Length
10 pages
Annotation
A STUDY WAS CONDUCTED IN PEORIA, ILL., TO DETERMINE WHICH CRIMINAL JUSTICE ACTIVITIES TEND TO DETER RESIDENTIAL BURGLARIES; RESULTING POLICY DECISIONS ARE INDICATED.
Abstract
THE CRIMINAL JUSTICE SYSTEM'S RESPONSE TO ABOUT 300 ADULTS ARRESTED FOR RESIDENTIAL BURGLARY WAS MEASURED AT 22 POINTS IN TIME OVER A 5.5-YEAR PERIOD. THE PRIMARY ANALYTICAL APPROACH USED PARTIAL AND MULTIPLE CORRELATION AND REGRESSION TECHNIQUES. RECIDIVISM STUDY OF THE SAMPLE SHOWS THAT THE CHANCES OF A PERSON BEING REARRESTED FOR RESIDENTIAL BURGLARY WERE ONLY 1 IN 15, INDICATING THAT IF RECIDIVISM FOR RESIDENTIAL BURGLARY HAD BEEN ELIMINATED DURING THE STUDY PERIOD, ONLY 27 FEWER BURGLARIES WOULD HAVE OCCURRED. AN EXAMINATION OF DIVERSION AND REHABILITATION APPROACHES TO THE SAMPLE SUBJECTS INDICATED THAT MATCHING OF OFFENDER NEEDS WITH APPROPRIATE PROGRAMS DID NOT OCCUR OFTEN ENOUGH TO DRAW CONCLUSIONS ABOUT CRIME REDUCTION EFFECTS IN THIS RESPONSE AREA. RESULTS SHOWED THAT A REDUCTION IN RESIDENTIAL BURGLARY OCCURRED WITH A REDUCTION IN THE PROBABILITY OF SECURING RELEASE FROM JAIL WHILE AWAITING FURTHER LEGAL ACTION, WITH A SHORT PERIOD BETWEEN ARREST AND INDICTMENT, AND WITH A GREATER RISK OF APPREHENSION. ACTION PROJECTS WERE DEVELOPED, BASED UPON THE EMPIRICAL FINDINGS, TO INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF APPREHENSION FOR RESIDENTIAL BURGLARY AND SPEEDY DISPOSITION AFTER APPREHENSION. TABULAR AND GRAPHIC DATA ARE PROVIDED. (RCB)