For the first quarter, the average monthly crime rate per 100,000 inhabitants is expected to reach 21.57 incidents -- a decrease of 8.2 percent from the 1979 rate and of 0.2 percent from the 1971, premartial law rate. The rate of index crimes should be 9.01, which represents a 15.2 percent decrease since 1979 and a 2.6 percent decrease from the 1971 rate. The rate for crimes against persons is expected to be 3.16; for physical injuries, 1.06; for homicides, 1.27; and for murders, 0.83. Crimes against property are expected to register 5.64 incidents per month for every 100,000 people or a decrease by 8.3 percent compared with the same period in 1971. The theft rate should be 3.5; and robbery, 2.14. The rape rate of 0.21 will reflect an increase of 10.5 percent over the rates for the first quarters of 1979 and 1971. By the end of the year, the average monthly crime rate may register 23.25, and by 1981 it may reach 23.55. These figures would represent increases of 13.1 percent and 14.6 percent, respectively, over the 1971 rate. The index crime rate is expected to be 9.83 by the end of 1980 and 9.88 in 1981. The 1980 and 1981 rates for crimes against persons, for murder, for homicide, and for other crimes are also projected. The slight increase in the crime rate is largely attributable to the increase in population, rapid urbanization, and the alteration of migration patterns which is resulting from industrialization and the political normalization process. Crimes against property will continue to remain at a high level due to economic difficulties arising from inflation. The methods for arriving at the projected rates are not explained. Data are presented in graphic form. A reference list is not included.