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Prior Victimisation and Crime Risk

NCJ Number
178130
Journal
International Journal of Risk, Security and Crime Prevention Volume: 2 Issue: 3 Dated: July 1997 Pages: 201-214
Author(s)
Dan Ellingworth; Tim Hope; Denise R. Osborn; Alan Trickett; Ken Pease
Date Published
July 1997
Length
14 pages
Annotation
This article analyzes how prior victimization affects the probability of suffering a subsequent event.
Abstract
The 1992 British Crime Survey collected information on victimization prior to the reference period of the survey. The article exploits that information in the context of a statistical model for property crime risk. It considers four types of prior victimization: car theft, burglary, theft from the person and assault. Of these, only prior theft from the person had no impact on the risk of subsequent property crime victimization. Victims of prior burglary/assault had a 70-percent increased risk of suffering property crime compared with prior non-victims. Different factors were important risk predictors for prior victims and for prior non-victims. Although the article models property crime victimization, it is worthy of note that prior personal crime suffered by the individual is predictive of property crime for the household. Tables, appendix, notes