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NCJ Number: 30748 Find in a Library
Title: INDETERMINATE SENTENCE IN AMERICA - AN EMPIRICAL TEST (FROM SOUTHERN CONFERENCE ON CORRECTIONS, ANNUAL, 19TH, 1974 BY VERNON FOX AND RICK KASTEN - SEE NCJ-30746)
Author(s): H E ALLEN
Corporate Author: Florida State University
United States of America

Wichita State University
United States of America
Date Published: 1974
Page Count: 13
Sponsoring Agency: Florida State University
Tallahassee, FL 32304
Wichita State University
Wichita, KS 67208
Format: Document
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: AN EMPIRICAL TEST OF ONE OF THE ASSUMPTIONS INHERENT IN THE PHILOSOPHY OF INDETERMINATE SENTENCING: THAT ADMINISTRATIVE BOARDS ARE ABLE TO PREDICT OUTCOMES OF OFFENDERS FOLLOWING RELEASE.
Abstract: DATA ON APPROXIMATELY 450 BOYS GIVEN INDETERMINATE SENTENCES TO AN UNNAMED MIDWESTERN MAXIMUM SECURITY JUVENILE INSTITUTION CONTRADICTED THIS ASSUMPTION. STAFF MEMBERS, INDENTIFIED BY THE INMATES AS KNOWING THEM BEST, WERE ASKED TO PREDICT HOW SUCCESSFUL THE INMATES WOULD BE AT ADJUSTING TO LIFE WITHIN THE LAW AFTER RELEASE. COMPARISON OF STAFF PREDICTIONS WITH FOLLOW-UP DATA INDICATED THAT IN ONLY 16 PERCENT OF THE CASES WERE STAFF PREDICTIONS ACCURATE. INMATES WHO WERE PREDICTED TO BE LIKELY TO ADJUST WELL WERE ALMOST AS LIKELY TO BE REINCARCERATED (40 PERCENT) AS THOSE EXPECTED TO DO POORLY (41 PERCENT). THE AUTHOR SUGGESTS THAT THIS AND OTHER ASSUMPTIONS BEHIND INDETERMINATE SENTENCING BE REEXAMINED.
Index Term(s): Correctional institutions (juvenile); Data analysis; Indeterminate sentences; Maximum security; Prediction; Recidivism
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http://www.ncjrs.gov/App/publications/abstract.aspx?ID=30748

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