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NCJ Number: 10908 Add to Shopping cart Find in a Library
Title: PREDICTING ARRESTEE RESIDENCE RATES
Author(s): M K HOWARD
Corporate Author: American Justice Institute
United States of America
Date Published: 1973
Page Count: 66
Sponsoring Agency: American Justice Institute
Sacramento, CA 95814
National Technical Information Service
Springfield, VA 22151
US Dept of Justice

US Dept of Justice NIJ Pub
Washington, DC 20531
Grant Number: 72-NI-09-0001; NI-70-023
Publication Number: 1
Sale Source: National Technical Information Service
US Dept of Commerce
5285 Port Royal Road
Springfield, VA 22151
United States of America
Type: Statistics
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: PREDICTING DIFFERENCES AMONG THE CENSUS TRACTS OF SANTA CLARA COUNTY, CALIFORNIA IN TERMS OF ADULT RESIDENTS ARRESTED FROM MARCH 1 TO SEPTEMBER 30, 1972.
Abstract: TWO DIFFERENT APPROACHES WERE TAKEN - (1) PREDICTION FROM CENSUS TRACT GROUPS BASED ON PATTERNS OF SOCIAL DIMENSION SCORES, AND (2) MULTIPLE LINEAR PREDICTION FROM 37 DEMOGRAPHIC MEASURES. THREE THINGS REMAIN THE SAME FOR EITHER APPROACH - THE OBJECTS OF STUDY (CENSUS TRACTS), THE MEASURED PROPERTIES OF THE TRACTS (37 DEMOGRAPHIC MEASURES), AND THE MEASURE BEING PREDICTED (ARRESTEE RATES). THE CENSUS TRACTS ARE THOSE LAID OUT FOR THE 1970 CENSUS AND CONTAIN FROM 152 TO 17,599 PEOPLE. THE PATTERN OF SCORES ON THE 37 DEMOGRAPHIC MEASURES DESCRIBES THE SOCIAL SITUATION IN WHICH ANY INDIVIDUAL IS EMBEDDED. THE AUTHORS CONCLUDE THAT THE ANALYSIS OF THE SOCIAL STRUCTURE OF THE COUNTY HAS POINTED TO THE FACT THAT TRACTS WHICH DO NOT SHOW A HIGH DEGREE OF SOCIOECONOMIC DEPRIVATION HAVE PREDICTABLY LOW ARRESTEE RESIDENCE RATES. TRACTS WITH A HIGH DEGREE OF SOCIOECONOMIC DEPRIVATION VARY CONSIDERABLY IN TERMS OF ARRESTEE RATES. APPENDED MATERIAL INCLUDES A LISTING OF NUMERATOR AND DENOMINATOR TERMS USED TO DERIVE DEMOGRAPHIC MEASURES.
Index Term(s): Arrest statistics; California; Frequency distribution; Pilot cities; Prediction; Socioculture; Standard metropolitan statistic area; Statistical analysis; Statistics
Note: SANTA CLARA CRIMINAL JUSTICE PILOT PROGRAM
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http://www.ncjrs.gov/App/publications/abstract.aspx?ID=10908

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