skip navigation

PUBLICATIONS

Register for Latest Research

Stay Informed
Register with NCJRS to receive NCJRS's biweekly e-newsletter JUSTINFO and additional periodic emails from NCJRS and the NCJRS federal sponsors that highlight the latest research published or sponsored by the Office of Justice Programs.

NCJRS Abstract

The document referenced below is part of the NCJRS Virtual Library collection. To conduct further searches of the collection, visit the Virtual Library. See the Obtain Documents page for direction on how to access resources online, via mail, through interlibrary loans, or in a local library.

 

NCJ Number: 154523 Find in a Library
Title: Actuarial Prediction of Sexual Recidivism
Journal: Journal of Interpersonal Violence  Volume:10  Issue:1  Dated:(March 1995)  Pages:85-105
Author(s): V L Quinsey; M E Rice; G T Harris
Date Published: 1995
Page Count: 21
Sponsoring Agency: Ontario Mental Health Foundation
Toronto, Ontario M4V 1K9, Canada
Ontario Ministry of Health
Canada
Grant Number: 01430
Type: Report (Study/Research)
Format: Article
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: An actuarial approach to predicting sexual recidivism among known sex offenders is illustrated with a reanalysis of follow-up data of rapists and child molesters.
Abstract: A total of 178 sex offenders who had been assessed at a maximum-security psychiatric facility were followed for an average of 59 months of opportunity to reoffend. Of these subjects, 124 were defined as child molesters, including 13 exclusively incestuous offenders, 28 as rapists, and 26 as both. Data were obtained on demographic variables, psychiatric records, criminal history, sexual preference, and outcome variables. Recidivism was defined as a sexual conviction or as a violent failure. Findings show that 28 percent of the subjects were convicted of a new sex offense, and 40 percent were arrested, convicted, or returned to the psychiatric facility for a violent, including sex, offense. Rapists were more likely to recidivate than child molesters. Psychopathy, measures of previous criminal history, and phallometric indexes of deviant sexual interests were found to be useful predictors of sexual recidivism. A predictor scale was developed by weighting each predictor that was significant in the regression analyses by a number that reflected its univariate correlation with the criterion. A linear relationship (r=.45) was found between scores on the predictor scale and reconviction for a sexual offense. 4 tables, 3 figures, and 34 references
Main Term(s): Criminology
Index Term(s): Child molesters; Rapists; Recidivism prediction; Sexual assault victims
To cite this abstract, use the following link:
http://www.ncjrs.gov/App/publications/abstract.aspx?ID=154523

*A link to the full-text document is provided whenever possible. For documents not available online, a link to the publisher's website is provided. Tell us how you use the NCJRS Library and Abstracts Database - send us your feedback.