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NCJ Number: 158232 Find in a Library
Title: Rearrest Probabilities for the 1984-1993 Apprehended Western Australian Population: A Survival Analysis
Journal: Journal of Quantitative Criminology  Volume:11  Issue:3  Dated:(September 1995)  Pages:289-313
Author(s): R G Broadhurst; N S Loh
Date Published: 1995
Page Count: 25
Sponsoring Agency: Australian Research Council
Canberra ACT, 2601, Australia
Type: Research (Applied/Empirical)
Format: Article
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: A large sample of 146,038 persons arrested by the police in Western Australia for the first time between April 1, 1984, and June 30, 1993, were followed to determine if they were rearrested during the study period.
Abstract: Rearrest probabilities were estimated at 0.52 for male nonaborigines, 0.36 for female nonaborigines, 0.88 for male aborigines, and 0.85 for female aborigines. Significant variations in the probability of rearrest and/or time to arrest were observed in terms of different age groups, number of times arrested, occupational status, offense group, place of birth, and bail status. Covariate analysis of nonaborigines was also undertaken to test the significance of differences in rearrest probabilities for subgroups. Rearrest probabilities were 0.47 for any offense and 0.31 for a repeat driving under the influence (DUI) for males and 0.34 for any offense and 0.20 for a repeat DUI for females. Study findings are discussed in light of reimprisonment estimates and the utility of offender risk assessment. 25 references, 18 footnotes, 8 tables, and 2 figures
Main Term(s): Foreign crime statistics
Index Term(s): Aborigines; Arrest statistics; Australia; Crime analysis; Crime in foreign countries; Driving Under the Influence (DUI); Foreign offenders; Foreign police; Longitudinal studies; Male female offender comparisons; Recidivism prediction
Note: US Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics, International Crime Statistics Program
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http://www.ncjrs.gov/App/publications/abstract.aspx?ID=158232

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