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NCJ Number: 230237 Find in a Library
Title: Prospective Actuarial Risk Assessment: A Comparison of Five Risk Assessment Instruments in Different Sexual Offender Subtypes
Journal: International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology  Volume:54  Issue:2  Dated:April 2010  Pages:169-186
Author(s): Martin Rettenberger; Anna Matthes; Douglas P. Boer; Reinhard Eher
Date Published: April 2010
Page Count: 18
Document: PDF
Type: Report (Study/Research) ; Test/Measurement
Format: Article
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: This study examines the predictive validity of the most commonly used risk assessment instruments for sexual offenders: Static-99, Rapid Risk Assessment for Sexual Offense Recidivism, Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide, Sexual Violence Risk-20, and Psychopathy Checklist-Revised in a prospective research design.
Abstract: Although risk assessment is part of a regime leading to various efforts to reduce risk by treatment and aftercare, all instruments show good predictive validity. However, depending on the instrument, recidivism category, and subgroup, the predictive accuracy varies markedly. Furthermore, the authors fail to demonstrate predictive validity for sexual violent reoffences - for the whole sample and for all subgroups. The results, nevertheless, support the utility and predictive validity of actuarial risk assessment complementary to treatment efforts to reduce risk. On the other hand, forensic practitioners have to be aware of the limitations of actuarial risk assessment methods, in particular as regards to variable predictive accuracy for different sexual offender subgroups and reoffence categories. Tables, notes, and references (Published Abstract)
Main Term(s): Criminology
Index Term(s): Recidivism prediction; Risk management; Sex offender profiles; Sex offenders; Sex offenses
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