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NCJRS Abstract

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NCJ Number: 237603 Find in a Library
Title: Comparative Analysis of Recidivism With Propensity Score Matching of Informal and Formal Juvenile Probationers
Journal: Journal of Offender Rehabilitation  Volume:50  Issue:8  Dated:November - December 2011  Pages:531-546
Author(s): Eyitayo Onifade; Jeffrey Wilkins; William Davidson; Christina Campbell; Jodi Peterson
Date Published: 2011
Page Count: 16
Document: PDF
Type: Research (Applied/Empirical)
Format: Article
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: This study determined the extent to which differential disposition and risk determined subsequent recidivism.
Abstract: Given service costs and evidence suggesting mixing young offenders of different risk levels increases recidivism, this study determined the extent to which differential disposition and risk determined subsequent recidivism. Furthermore, this study entailed a comparison of offense outcomes for informal probationers (n = 581) and formal probationers (n = 773) of similar risk levels. Criminogenic risk was assessed using the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory. To control for selection effects, the two groups were matched based on propensity scores. Validation of the measure yielded an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of .67 for informal probationers and .62 for formal probationers. Low-, moderate-, and high-risk probationers were found in both groups of offenders. However, there were no significant differences in recidivism rates between similar risk level youth of the two respective probation groups. Policy and practice implications are offered and discussed. (Published Abstract)
Main Term(s): Juvenile probation
Index Term(s): Crime measurement; Juvenile delinquency prediction; Juvenile probation effectiveness; Juvenile probation services; Recidivism
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