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NCJ Number: 39860 Add to Shopping cart Find in a Library
Title: DIAGNOSTIC PAROLE PREDICTION INDEX (DPPI) - FINAL REPORT
Corporate Author: Ohio State University
Program for the Study of Crime and Delinquency
United States of America
Project Director: E WENK
Date Published: 1975
Page Count: 350
Sponsoring Agency: National Institute of Justice/
Rockville, MD 20849
Ohio State University
Columbus, OH 43212
US Dept of Justice
Washington, DC 20531
Grant Number: 75-NI-99-0039
Sale Source: National Institute of Justice/
NCJRS paper reproduction
Box 6000, Dept F
Rockville, MD 20849
United States of America
Type: Statistics
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: THE DIAGNOSTIC PAROLE PREDICTION INDEX (DPPI) PROJECT WAS UNDERTAKEN TO DETERMINE WHETHER A PAROLE PREDICTION INSTRUMENT COULD BE DEVELOPED ACCORDING TO A MODEL COMBINING STATISTICAL PREDICTION WITH CASE STUDIES.
Abstract: THE PRIMARY GOALS OF THIS RESEARCH WERE: 1) TO DEMONSTRATE THAT PREDICTIVE INFORMATION REGARDING PAROLE OUTCOME CAN BE FUSED WITH CLINICAL CONCERNS; 2) TO COMPARE THE ACCURACY OF SEVERAL PREDICTION MODELS; AND 3) TO DESIGN AND FIELD TEST SEVERAL UNDERSTANDABLE DPPI FORMATS. USING A DATA BASE OF 200 VARIABLES COLLECTED ON 4,146 CALIFORNIA YOUTH AUTHORITY WARDS, WITH A 15 MONTH FOLLOW-UP, THE PROJECT SOUGHT TO DEVELOP AN INSTRUMENT THAT WAS SIMPLE ENOUGH FOR FIELD USE BUT SUFFICIENTLY ACCURATE IN ITS STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF PAROLE OUTCOME. HOWEVER, STATISTICAL ANALYSES INDICATED THAT THE CONFIGURATED METHODS MOST EFFICIENT IN PREDICTING PAROLE OUTCOME WERE REJECTED BY THE CLINICIANS AS TOO COMPLEX. IT WAS CONCLUDED THAT THE RESOLUTION OF THIS IMPASSE WILL REQUIRE ADDITIONAL EFFORTS TO DEVELOP NEW APPROACHES TO THE DESIRED CLINICAL SYNTHESIS. (AUTHOR ABSTRACT MODIFIED)...MSP
Index Term(s): California; Models; Parole; Parole statistics; Prediction; Statistical analysis
To cite this abstract, use the following link:
http://www.ncjrs.gov/App/publications/abstract.aspx?ID=39860

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