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NCJ Number: 63809 Find in a Library
Title: HOUSEHOLD MIGRATION PLANS - A MULTIVARIATE PROBIT MODEL
Journal: SOCIOLOGICAL METHODS AND RESEARCH  Volume:8  Issue:1  Dated:(AUGUST 1979)  Pages:95-109
Author(s): L M RUSSELL; N W RIVES
Corporate Author: Sage Publications, Inc
United States of America
Date Published: 1979
Page Count: 15
Sponsoring Agency: Sage Publications, Inc
Thousand Oaks, CA 91320
Type: Report (Study/Research)
Format: Article
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: THIS SOCIOLOGICAL RESEARCH PAPER PRESENTS A MULTIVARIATE PROBIT MODEL OF MIGRANT BEHAVIOR FOCUSING ON HOUSEHOLD MIGRATION PLANS.
Abstract: MIGRATION IS THE PRINCIPAL COMPONENT OF DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES IN MOST STATES AND LOCAL AREAS, AND THE METHODS USED TO ESTIMATE AND PROJECT MIGRATION DESERVE SPECIAL ATTENTION. CONVENTIONAL ESTIMATES AND PROJECTION PROCEDURES FOCUS ON INDIVIDUAL MOVEMENT AND THE NUMBER OF MOVES THAT HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED. RECENT RESEARCH ON MIGRANT BEHAVIOR SUGGESTS, HOWEVER, THAT THE APPROPRIATE USE OF ANALYSIS IN THE MIGRATION DECISION IS THE HOUSEHOLD, NOT THE INDIVIDUAL, AND THAT GREATER ATTENTION SHOULD BE DEVOTED TO THE STUDY OF INTENTION TO MIGRATE RATHER THAN THE FACT OF MIGRATION. PROBIT ANALYSIS PERMITS A MORE RIGOROUS SPECIFICATION OF THE RELATION OF DEMOGRAPHIC, ECONOMIC, AND SOCIAL FACTORS TO THE INDIVIDUAL MIGRATION DECISION, AND THIS PAPER PRESENTS SUCH A MULTIVARIATE PROBIT MODEL FOCUSING ON HOUSEHOLD MIGRATION PLANS. THE PAPER ALSO PRESENTS THE EMPIRICAL FINDINGS FOR AN APPLICATION OF THE MODEL TO A 1976 SURVEY OF 3,610 METROPOLITIAN DELAWARE HOUSEHOLDS. THERE IS ALSO A DISCUSSION OF THE PROBLEMS AND PROCEDURES SURROUNDING THE CONSTRUCTION OF A PROBIT MODEL INCORPORATING AGGREGATE INFORMATION, AN APPROACH TO MODEL BUILDING CONSIDERED POTENTIALLY USEFUL FOR PLANNING AND POLICY RESEARCH. TABULAR DATA, A NOTE, AND REFERENCES ARE GIVEN. (AUTHOR ABSTRACT MODIFIED--MJW)
Index Term(s): Demography; Evaluation; Evaluation techniques; Models; Research; Research methods; Sociology
Note: EARLIER VERSION PRESENTED OF THE ANNUAL MEETING OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION
To cite this abstract, use the following link:
http://www.ncjrs.gov/App/publications/abstract.aspx?ID=63809

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