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NCJRS Abstract

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NCJ Number: 78418 Find in a Library
Title: Development of a Predictive Model for Parole Decision-making The Delaware Case
Author(s): D Yanich
Date Published: 1980
Page Count: 405
Sponsoring Agency: Not Available Through National Institute of Justice/NCJRS Document Loan Program
Rockville, MD 20849
UMI Dissertation Services
Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1346
Sale Source: UMI Dissertation Services
300 North Zeeb Road
P.O. Box 1346
Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1346
United States of America

Not Available Through National Institute of Justice/NCJRS Document Loan Program
Rockville, MD 20849
United States of America
Type: Thesis/Dissertation
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: This study attempts to develop a decisionmaking tool to identify the variables which affect the successful completion of the parole sentence and the period following supervision.
Abstract: It examines three issues -- the identification of the variables affecting parole outcome, a comparison of the conditional release behavior of persons granted parole (parolees) and persons denied parole (mandatory releasees), and the examination of the behavior of conditional releasees past the conditional release period -in the context of the Delaware Board of Parole. The variables to be investigated are listed, and parole success and failure are defined. The sample studied consists of 270 parolees paroled by the board between 1971-77 with parole sentences of 9 months or more and 135 mandatory releasees whose cases were still active. Data were gathered from the board's files and from the records of the Office of Probation and Parole. The findings show that parole experience variables account for a larger amount of the variance in conditional release and postconditional release outcome than preparole variables. However, when these two sets of variables are combined they account for only about one-half of the total variance in conditional release and postconditional outcomes. Accounting for much of this variance are environmental factors, which parole boards should consider when taking action. Elements of the decisionmaking model are identified, and directions for future research are suggested. Data tables, footnotes, and 94 references are supplied. Additional data tables are appended.
Index Term(s): Delaware; Models; Parole board; Parole outcome prediction; Probation or parole decisionmaking
Note: *This document is currently unavailable from NCJRS. University of Delaware - doctoral dissertation.
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