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NCJ Number: 93826 Find in a Library
Title: Clinical and Statistical Prediction of Recidivism
Journal: Criminal Justice and Behavior  Volume:11  Issue:1  Dated:(March 1984)  Pages:3-34
Author(s): J S Wormith; C S Goldstone
Date Published: 1984
Page Count: 32
Format: Article
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: The purpose of this research series was to investigate characteristics of a previously devised Recidivism Prediction Scheme with a regional sample of offenders and to assess possible means of integrating clinical and actuarial data sets.
Abstract: Study 1 revealed high interrater reliability coefficients, although agreement varied by items. Natives, maximum security inmates, and property offenders received poor prognostic scores in Studies 1 and 2. Study 2 provided validity data on the instrument and suggested how clinical and statistically based decisions might be integrated. However, in Study 3, the incorporation of clinical data into an actuarial scheme did little to improve the predictive accuracy of both multiple regression and unit weight systems when they were subjected to cross-validation. (Author abstract)
Index Term(s): Criminality prediction; Estimating methods; Recidivism
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