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NCJ Number: NCJ 238075   Add to Shopping cart   Find in a Library
Title: Re-Entry: Dynamic Risk Assessment
Author(s): Robert D. Morgan Ph.D. ; Daryl G. Kroner Ph.D. ; Jeremy F. Mills Ph.D.
Date Published: 03/2012
Page Count: 129
Sponsoring Agency: National Institute of Justice
US Department of Justice
Office of Justice Programs
United States of America
Grant Number: 2007-IJ-CX-0027
Sale Source: National Institute of Justice/NCJRS
Box 6000
Rockville, MD 20849
United States of America

NCJRS Photocopy Services
Box 6000
Rockville, MD 20849-6000
United States of America
Document: PDF 
Type: Report (Study/Research)
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: In emphasizing reentry after incarceration as a dynamic process rather than an event (crime/no crime) this study is considered an initial step toward providing those who supervise parolees with tools to make an accurate assessment of a change in risk (dynamic risk factors) and hence a change in the likelihood of re-offending.
Abstract: The study found that the inclusion of dynamic risk factors in assessment did not contribute to the predictive power of static variables. The study found that changes in offenders’ dynamic functioning were not associated with changes in community outcomes. Thus, measuring change in offenders’ functioning using rated measures did not increase researchers’ ability to predict failure in reentry. On the other hand, offenders were able to self-report on personal perceptions of risk areas that were predictive of reentry failure. This suggests that offenders should provide input for the criminal risk assessment. In addition, the measures used were better at predicting criminal risk for White offenders, but they were less accurate in predicting criminal behavior for non-White offenders. This suggests that current measures of risk prediction may not be culturally sensitive. The study obtained data from 133 male offenders paroled from the Texas Department of Criminal Justice correctional facilities from June 11, 2008 - January 31, 2011. Study participants had a mean age of 34.9 years and were predominantly Black (33.8 percent) or White (19.5 percent); 45 percent were Hispanic. Study participants were primarily convicted of nonviolent offenses (85.3 percent), and 52 percent failed a prior sentence of community supervision. Participants were recruited to participate in a seven-wave data-collection procedure upon reentry to the community, with a monthly follow-up for a minimum of 6 months. Risk assessment measures were designed to determine criminal risk. 26 tables, 2 figures, and extensive references
Main Term(s): Corrections policies
Index Term(s): Recidivism ; Offender classification ; Cultural influences ; Parole casework ; Risk management ; Parole effectiveness ; Parole supervision ; NIJ final report ; Race ; Reentry
   
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https://www.ncjrs.gov/App/Publications/abstract.aspx?ID=260118

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