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Population Projections, 1991-1997

NCJ Number
134058
Author(s)
J Leonard; J Lara; S V Abeyta; M S Kwong
Date Published
1991
Length
41 pages
Annotation
California Department of Corrections (CDC) projections of institution, parole, and outpatient populations for fiscal years 1991-1992 through 1996-1997 are based on the most current available data and existing law.
Abstract
Between 1981 and 1991, the population in CDC institutions increased considerably from 26,768, to 101,995. This increase was primarily due to the impact of legislative changes and a rise in reported crime, especially drug- related crime, and to a higher number of parole violator returns. The fall 1991 projected institution population was significantly lower than the population projected in the spring of 1991. The slower increase was primarily due to lower projected new admissions. Fall 1991 projections estimate that the June 1992 institution population will be 105,992 increasing to 132,972 by June 1996 and to 139,991 by June 1997. By June 1992, the number of parolees and outpatients supervised in California is expected to be 83,981 increasing to 113,826 by June 1997. The total addict institution population is projected to increase to 3,615 by June 1997. Similarly, the total number of outpatients supervised in California is expected to increase from 2,944 in June 1991 to 4,179 in June 1997. Statistics are also provided on male felon admission rates. An analysis is presented of California's Inmate Work/Training Incentive Program, work credits for return-to-custody cases, mean sentences and preconfinement credits, placement needs, and parole violators. 21 tables