U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government, Department of Justice.

NCJRS Virtual Library

The Virtual Library houses over 235,000 criminal justice resources, including all known OJP works.
Click here to search the NCJRS Virtual Library

Development of an Actuarial Risk Assessment Instrument for U.S. Pretrial Services

NCJ Number
228791
Journal
Federal Probation Volume: 73 Issue: 2 Dated: September 2009 Pages: 33-36
Author(s)
Christopher T. Lowenkamp; Jay Whetzel
Date Published
September 2009
Length
4 pages
Annotation
This article provides an argument in favor of risk assessment in the Federal pretrial system and a description of the process used to develop a proposed pretrial risk instrument.
Abstract
During the last 5 to 10 years, the rate of pretrial release detention has steadily increased. Sixty percent of the growth can be attributed to a steadily increasing risk of the defendants being charged in Federal court. This is the context in which the adoption of a risk prediction tool should be considered. The pretrial risk instrument presented provides a quick and accurate way for Federal pretrial services officers to begin to develop an empirical understanding of the risk posed by pretrial defendants. The adoption of an actuarial tool allows for the ability to more effectively assess defendant risk and improve the recommendations made to the court. The next step in the process of implementing a pretrial risk assessment will be full use of the information provided by the instrument in structuring recommendations about release and conditions of release. Tables and references