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Promising Statistical Methods for Estimating Models of Post-Release Criminal Activity

NCJ Number
89806
Author(s)
A D Witte
Date Published
1980
Length
16 pages
Annotation
A survey of statistical techniques which can and have been used to analyze commonly used measures of the timing, frequency, and seriousness of postrelease criminal activity finds that the technique chosen should vary with the relative importance of technical, cost, and comprehension factors.
Abstract
Alternative techniques were judged on appropriateness, methodological strength, flexibility, sensitivity, confidence, transferability, costs, and understandability. Simpler techniques, such as ordinary least squares analysis, appeared to have lower costs and were easier to understand. However, the application of such simple techniques is questionable on technical grounds. The researcher using simpler techniques should be warned that estimates obtained may fail to have desirable properties (i.e., lack of efficiency). It is particularly likely that estimated standard errors will be biased and that tests of significance may be inappropriate. Lists of statistical techniques assessed and 22 references are supplied. (Author summary modified)