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NCJ Number: 106378 Find in a Library
Title: Prediction (From Handbook of Juvenile Delinquency, P 325-382, 1987, Herbert C Quay, ed. -- See NCJ-106369)
Author(s): R Loeber; M Stouthammer-Loeber
Date Published: 1987
Page Count: 58
Sponsoring Agency: John Wiley and Sons
New York, NY 10158
Sale Source: John Wiley and Sons
Managing Editor
605 Third Avenue
New York, NY 10158
United States of America
Type: Literature Review
Language: English
Country: United States of America
Annotation: A review is presented of research into the predictors of delinquency, including chronic and violent offending.
Abstract: Results indicate that early conduct problems (aggression, truancy, stealing, lying, drug use) are predictive of later delinquency, particularly serious delinquency, and in some cases recidivism. While juvenile arrest and conviction is a predictor of subsequent adult criminality, the seriousness of juvenile delinquency is a better predictor of the seriousness of adult offending. Particularly strong family predictors of subsequent delinquency include lack of supervision, parental rejection, parental criminality and aggressiveness, and marital discord. The strongest predictors were multiple family handicaps. While poor educational performance predicts later delinquency, the effect is largely mediated by conduct problems. Early conduct problems and other handicaps predict chronic offending, while early aggressiveness predicts violent offending. Offense-specific precursors have been found for theft and drug use. Approximately 180 references.
Main Term(s): Juvenile delinquency prediction
Index Term(s): Juvenile delinquency factors; Juvenile personality characteristics; Juvenile recidivism prediction; Juvenile to adult criminal careers; Parent-Child Relations; Serious juvenile offenders; Violent juvenile offenders
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